May 7, 2024
War in Ukraine
Russia attacked with the idea that they would
take control of Kiev in a few days and install a friendly government. The
Ukrainians resisted bravely and pushed back the Russians with weapons received
from the West. Then the Russians invaded the Russophone regions but were blocked
by Ukrainians still armed with Western weapons. Trusting in American arms, the
Ukrainians then thought they could DEFEAT Russia (not just stop it), but they
didn't succeed, as predictable.
America then slowed down, having no real interest in defeating Russia, quite the
opposite.
The only solution then is to go back to two years ago: Ukraine cedes some
provinces to Russia, while the other devastated and already in revolt, Russia
settles because it is unable to conquer Ukraine and especially maintain it. Both
claim victory.
This would be reasonable, but in wars, follies often blaze out of control.